My AFL-Elo model

Over the last few years I have followed a lot of the work done by FiveThiryEight, particularly their attempts to model and predict sport. More recently I have discovered there is a community of people trying to do similar things for the AFL, including The Arc, Squiggle, Matter of Stats and Hurling People Now. Many of these modelling projects are based around the Elo system. If you haven’t heard of it before this model is a ranking system originally designed for chess by a Hungarian physicist.

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Luke Zappia

Bioinformatician in training

PhD student